About this site

KickChance exists because we bet too, and we wanted to know the chances before we staked: in plain numbers, with the reason, and with every result kept in the open. By bettors, for bettors.

Every night we scan the day's football matches. A statistical model estimates the chance of each result from the teams' recent results, goals and form.

We publish a pick only when its win chance is at least 75%. For match results (home win, away win, and win with money back on a draw), the win chance is the average of at least three bookmakers, with their profit margin removed: tested on past matches, the bookmakers judged match results better than our model. For goals markets (over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, both teams score), it is our model's chance. Every pick shows both numbers where both exist, and we skip any pick where they differ by more than 10 points. How our numbers are made.

Each pick comes with one sentence explaining it, written from the stored statistics, such as a team's recent run.

A pick with a 75% chance still loses about a quarter of the time. Chances are estimates, not guarantees. Picks that seem likely can and do lose.

Every pick we publish, and every result, is kept in a public record that we cannot edit afterwards. If a result has to be corrected, the pick shows the correction and its reason, and the original stays. See yesterday's results.

Record since 7 Oct 2026, using our current data source. Results from before then stay in our internal archive.

Fixtures, results, league tables, bookmaker prices, injuries and head-to-head records come from API-Football: Data provided by API-SPORTS.

We never sell tips, never ask for payment, and never contact you on WhatsApp or Telegram. Anyone who does is not us.

This site is for people aged 18 and over.