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Today's picks

Today, Saturday 17 October · 35 picks

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (2)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.19

EvertonChelsea

Last 5 games

12:30 BST · Premier League, England

Each of Chelsea's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.07

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

MiddlesbroughCardiff

Last 5 games

12:30 BST · Championship, England

Each of Cardiff's last 3 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting later (18)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

85%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.07

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart

Last 5 games

14:30 BST · Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Hamburger SV's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

SV ElversbergFC Augsburg

Last 5 games

14:30 BST · Bundesliga, Germany

Each of FC Augsburg's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund

Last 5 games

14:30 BST · Bundesliga, Germany

4 of Union Berlin's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.17

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 games

14:30 BST · Bundesliga, Germany

Each of FSV Mainz 05's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07

Last 5 games

14:30 BST · Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Werder Bremen's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

84%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Manchester CityIpswich

Last 5 games

15:00 BST · Premier League, England

5 of Ipswich's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

SouthamptonBolton

Last 5 games

15:00 BST · Championship, England

Each of Bolton's last 4 away matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.26

WrexhamPreston

Last 5 games

15:00 BST · Championship, England

Each of Wrexham's last 5 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

SwanseaWest Ham

Last 5 games

15:00 BST · Championship, England

Each of West Ham's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.25

BirminghamQPR

Last 5 games

15:00 BST · Championship, England

Each of Birmingham's last 5 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

Bristol CitySheffield Utd

Last 5 games

15:00 BST · Championship, England

Each of Sheffield Utd's last 4 away matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain

Last 5 games

16:15 BST · Ligue 1, France

Each of Strasbourg's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.19

BolognaInter

Last 5 games

17:00 BST · Serie A, Italy

Each of Inter's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.17

NewcastleAston Villa

Last 5 games

17:30 BST · Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Bayern München win

78%win chance

Average of 6 bookmakers · Our model 78% · Price 1.22

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Last 5 games

17:30 BST · Bundesliga, Germany

Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.06

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

TelstarFeyenoord

Last 5 games

19:00 BST · Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Feyenoord's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

Estac TroyesLens

Last 5 games

19:45 BST · Ligue 1, France

Each of Estac Troyes's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Last 5 games

20:00 BST · Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Sparta Rotterdam's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Trial leagues (10)

10 of 31 trial picks shown

Back to today's picks

Kick-off Sat 15:30 BST, Eredivisie, Netherlands

ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

What the data says

ADO Den Haag host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie, Netherlands.

Our model gives ADO Den Haag a 14% chance of winning, a draw 14% and PSV Eindhoven 73%.

The model expects ADO Den Haag to score 1.2 goals and PSV Eindhoven 3.2.

ADO Den Haag have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; PSV Eindhoven have won 5 of 6.

Top factors

ADO Den Haag sit 17th with 3 points; PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd with 19 points.
ADO Den Haag have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches; PSV Eindhoven 7 from 5.
At home, ADO Den Haag have taken 5 points from their last 5; away, PSV Eindhoven have taken 9 from their last 5.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 16 Oct, 21:05 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.

Today's picks

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (2)

Starting later (18)

Trial leagues (10)

ADO Den Haag v PSV EindhovenADO Den HaagHomeSat 15:30 BSTPSV EindhovenAway

Our model's chances

What the data says

Top factors

ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven