AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21 prediction, Tuesday 6 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· England - National League Cup
AFC Hornchurch v Fulham U21HomevAwayHomevAway
Final score AFC Hornchurch 1, Fulham U21 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: AFC Hornchurch win 25%, Draw 23%, Fulham U21 win 52%.
AFC Hornchurch host Fulham U21 in the National League Cup, England.
Our model gives AFC Hornchurch a 25% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Fulham U21 52%.
The model expects AFC Hornchurch to score 1.3 goals and Fulham U21 1.9.
Top factors
- AFC Hornchurch sit 14th with 3 points; Fulham U21 sit 20th with 1 point.
- AFC Hornchurch have taken 3 points from their last 2 matches; Fulham U21 1 from 2.
- At home, AFC Hornchurch have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, Fulham U21 have taken 1 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)AFC Hornchurch 1.3, Fulham U21 1.9 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the National League Cup, before kick-off.
AFC Hornchurch sit 14th with 3 points; Fulham U21 sit 20th with 1. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of AFC Hornchurch.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
- 13th Wealdstone3 points from 2 games · goal difference +4
- 14th AFC Hornchurch3 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
- 15th Tamworth3 points from 2 games · goal difference 0
- 19th Sutton United2 points from 2 games · goal difference 0
- 20th Fulham U211 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
- 21st Nottingham Forest U211 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 13 | Wealdstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 3 |
| 14 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 | Tamworth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Sutton United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 | Fulham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Middlesbrough U219 points from 3 games · goal difference +14
- 2nd Boreham Wood7 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 3rd Halifax Town6 points from 2 games · goal difference +7
- 4th Scunthorpe United6 points from 2 games · goal difference +5
- 5th Truro City6 points from 2 games · goal difference +4
- 6th West Ham United U216 points from 2 games · goal difference +4
- 7th Woking4 points from 2 games · goal difference +3
- 8th Birmingham City U214 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Braintree Town4 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
- 10th Everton U214 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Norwich City U21
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Ipswich Town U218 Sept 2026 · National League Cup · Home3–0
LLostv Norwich City U2118 Aug 2026 · National League Cup · Home1–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Braintree Town8 Sept 2026 · National League Cup · Away1–2
DDrewat Aldershot Town18 Aug 2026 · National League Cup · Away2–2
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then AFC Hornchurch at home and Fulham U21 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
AFC Hornchurch
- Last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
AFC Hornchurch| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Fulham U21
- Last 5 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Fulham U21| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 |
|---|
AFC Hornchurch at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Fulham U21 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | AFC Hornchurch | Fulham U21 |
|---|
| League position | 14th | 20th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 2 and 2) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 2 and 2) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
4 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
12th West Brom U214 points from 2 games · goal difference +113th Wealdstone3 points from 2 games · goal difference +414th AFC Hornchurch3 points from 2 games · goal difference +215th Tamworth3 points from 2 games · goal difference 016th Wolves U213 points from 2 games · goal difference -117th Derby County U213 points from 2 games · goal difference -218th Leeds United U213 points from 2 games · goal difference -219th Sutton United2 points from 2 games · goal difference 020th Fulham U211 points from 2 games · goal difference -121st Nottingham Forest U211 points from 2 games · goal difference -122nd Worthing1 points from 2 games · goal difference -123rd Gateshead1 points from 2 games · goal difference -224th Aldershot Town1 points from 2 games · goal difference -325th Ipswich Town U211 points from 2 games · goal difference -326th Leicester U211 points from 2 games · goal difference -327th Boston United0 points from 2 games · goal difference -228th Newcastle United U210 points from 2 games · goal difference -329th Solihull Moors0 points from 2 games · goal difference -330th Southampton U210 points from 2 games · goal difference -431st Stoke City U210 points from 2 games · goal difference -1032nd Hartlepool United0 points from 2 games · goal difference -11| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | +14 | 9 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 | Halifax Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 | Truro City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | West Ham United U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | Woking | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 8 | Birmingham City U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Everton U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Norwich City U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 13 | Wealdstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 3 |
| 14 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 | Tamworth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Wolves U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby County U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Leeds United U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Sutton United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 | Fulham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 22 | Worthing | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 24 | Aldershot Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 25 | Ipswich Town U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 26 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 | Boston United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Newcastle United U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 |
| 29 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 |
| 30 | Southampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 31 | Stoke City U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
| 32 | Hartlepool United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 |
| Last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|