Alianza Atlético v Sport BoysAlianza AtléticoHomevSport BoysAwayAlianza AtléticoHomevSport BoysAway
Final score Alianza Atlético 3, Sport Boys 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Alianza Atlético win 59%, Draw 22%, Sport Boys win 19%.
59%
Alianza Atlético win
22%
Draw
19%
Sport Boys win
What the data says
Alianza Atlético host Sport Boys in the Copa de La Liga, Peru.
Our model gives Alianza Atlético a 59% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Sport Boys 19%.
The model expects Alianza Atlético to score 2.0 goals and Sport Boys 1.2.
Alianza Atlético have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Sport Boys have won 2 of 5.
Top factors
Alianza Atlético sit 2nd with 16 points; Sport Boys sit 7th with 8 points.
Alianza Atlético have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Sport Boys 8 from 5.
At home, Alianza Atlético have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Sport Boys have taken 2 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Alianza Atlético win
59%
Draw
22%
Alianza Atlético vs Sport Boys prediction, Tuesday 6 October: chances and analysis
Sport Boys win
19%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams score
58%
Expected goals (our model)
Alianza Atlético 2.0, Sport Boys 1.2
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Copa de La Liga, before kick-off.
Alianza Atlético sit 2nd with 16 points; Sport Boys sit 7th with 8. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Alianza Atlético; Alianza Atlético have played 1 more.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
1stSporting Cristal17 points from 7 games · goal difference +12
2ndAlianza Atlético16 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
3rdSport Huancayo10 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
6thUTC Cajamarca8 points from 4 games · goal difference +5
7thSport Boys8 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
8thCarlos Mannucci7 points from 4 games · goal difference +2
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Sporting Cristal
7
5
2
0
16
4
+12
17
2
Alianza Atlético
6
5
1
0
14
6
+8
16
3
Sport Huancayo
5
3
1
1
8
7
+1
10
6
UTC Cajamarca
4
2
2
0
10
5
+5
8
7
Sport Boys
5
2
2
1
10
9
+1
8
8
Carlos Mannucci
4
2
1
1
7
5
Show full tableShow less
1stSporting Cristal17 points from 7 games · goal difference +12
2ndAlianza Atlético16 points from 6 games · goal difference +8
3rdSport Huancayo10 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
4thADT10 points from 7 games · goal difference -2
5thCienciano9 points from 4 games · goal difference +3
6thUTC Cajamarca8 points from 4 games · goal difference +5
7thSport Boys8 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
8thCarlos Mannucci7 points from 4 games · goal difference +2
9thLos Chankas6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
10thAtlético Grau6 points from 4 games · goal difference +1
11thDeportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atlético: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Sport Boys27 Sept 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Away5–2
DDrewv UTC Cajamarca25 Aug 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Home1–1
WWonv Molinos El Pirata10 Jul 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Home3–2
WWonat Alianza Lima28 Jun 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Away2–1
WWonv César Vallejo19 Jun 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Home2–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Carlos Mannucci13 Jun 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Away1–0
Sport Boys: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Alianza Atlético27 Sept 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Home2–5
DDrewat Atlético Grau26 Aug 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Away2–2
WWonv Comerciantes11 Jul 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Home1–0
WWonv Academia Cantolao28 Jun 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Home3–0
DDrewat Universidad San Martín13 Jun 2026 · Copa de La Liga · Away2–2
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Alianza Atlético at home and Sport Boys away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Alianza Atlético
Last 5 (5)4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 13 scored, 6 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (6)5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 14 scored, 6 conceded · 2.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Alianza Atlético
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
4
1
0
13
6
+7
13
2.60
1
0
Last 10 (6)
6
5
1
0
14
6
+8
16
2.67
2
0
Home, last 5 (3)
3
2
1
0
6
3
+3
7
2.33
1
0
Home, last 10 (3)
3
2
1
0
6
3
+3
7
2.33
1
0
Sport Boys
Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 10 scored, 9 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 10 scored, 9 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Away, last 5 (2)0 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 4 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Away, last 10 (2)0 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 4 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Sport Boys
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
2
Alianza Atlético at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sport Boys away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Alianza Atlético
Sport Boys
League position
2nd
7th
Points per game
2.67
1.60
Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 5)
2.33
2.00
Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 5)
1.00
1.80
Clean sheets
2
2
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
+2
7
5 points from 4 games · goal difference +2
12thComerciantes5 points from 4 games · goal difference 0
13thUCV Moquegua5 points from 4 games · goal difference -1
14thBentín Tacna Heroica4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
15thAlianza Universidad4 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
16thDeportiva Agropecuaria4 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
17thMolinos El Pirata3 points from 3 games · goal difference 0
18thUnión Comercio3 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
19thAcademia Cantolao3 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
20thSantos3 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
21stDeportivo Binacional3 points from 3 games · goal difference -4
22ndDeportivo Llacuabamba2 points from 2 games · goal difference 0
23rdADC Juan Pablo II2 points from 2 games · goal difference 0
24thUniversidad San Martín1 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
25thMelgar1 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
26thCusco FC1 points from 3 games · goal difference -2
27thFC Cajamarca1 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
28thUniversitario1 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
29thComerciantes Unidos1 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
30thAlianza Lima1 points from 3 games · goal difference -3
31stCésar Vallejo1 points from 3 games · goal difference -3
32ndEstudiantil CNI1 points from 3 games · goal difference -3
33rdUnión Minas Volcán1 points from 3 games · goal difference -3
34thAyacucho0 points from 2 games · goal difference -2