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Yesterday's picks

Thursday 15 October

17 of 20 top picks won

Other picks: 2 of 2 won

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

HNK Hajduk SplitAjax21

37' Sanyang, 53' Klaassen, 55' Soticek

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.20

CSKA SofiaMonaco12

3' Brunner, 43' Fati, 76' Zwarts

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Lech PoznanBayer Leverkusen04

29' Schick (pen), 32' Tillman, 41' Schick (pen), 88' Maza

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

PanathinaikosBorac Banja Luka21

10' Dessers (pen), 70' Kangwa, 80' Jojic

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.20

FC LuganoFK Crvena Zvezda32

25' Ajeti, 32' Elsnik, 67' Krunic, 84' Moncada, 89' Grgic (pen)

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.19

Mjallby AIFInter Club d'Escaldes20

54' Bergstrom, 65' Noren

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.22

Egnatia RrogozhinëFC Midtjylland11

26' Gruda, 33' Gue-Sung

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.19

LyonCrystal Palace32

8' Tolisso, 45+2' Nuamah, 50' Pino, 76' Šulc, 81' Kamada

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price then 1.31

RigaKairat Almaty11

5' Gual (pen), 12' M'Hand

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

BenficaCeltic41

5' Durán (pen), 23' Bah, 36' Durán, 63' Duran, 89' Pavlidis

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price then 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

TwenteFC Thun10

65' Zerrouki

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

BrannLincoln Red Imps FC21

59' Gomez, 64' Castro, 81' Castro

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

Heart Of MidlothianFC Nordsjaelland11

33' McEntee, 86' Rojkjaer

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

SC FreiburgFK Jablonec32

15' Grifo, 28' Rusek, 53' Pavlovic (og), 65' Eggestein, 90+3' Kuol

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.21

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus01

42' Hezze

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.16

St. TruidenFC Iberia 199920

11' Vanwesemael, 88' Sebaoui

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 70% · Price then 1.35

Celta VigoJuventus12

18' Antunez, 58' Woltemade, 90+2' Muani

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 70% · Price then 1.33

FC CopenhagenSC Braga30

49' Elyounoussi, 79' Cornelius, 86' Cornelius

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.23

Dinamo ZagrebAnderlecht10

90+6' Beljo (pen)

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.18

JagielloniaArarat-Armenia31

11' Banjaqui, 13' Jóźwiak, 38' Conceição, 51' Sow

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Other picks (2)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.19

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad11

46' Turrientes, 88' Keita

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

AtalantaPafos31

1' Elmas, 18' Raspadori (pen), 44' Scamacca, 88' Biel

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Copa do Brasil U20, Brazil

Amazonas U20 v Atlético Mineiro U20

Final score Amazonas U20 1, Atlético Mineiro U20 4.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Amazonas U20 win 72%, Draw 16%, Atlético Mineiro U20 win 13%.

What the data says

Amazonas U20 host Atlético Mineiro U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20, Brazil.

Our model gives Amazonas U20 a 72% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Atlético Mineiro U20 13%.

The model expects Amazonas U20 to score 2.6 goals and Atlético Mineiro U20 0.9.

Top factors

  • Amazonas U20 have taken 4 points from their last 2 matches; Atlético Mineiro U20 6 from 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.