Banfield v Rosario CentralBanfieldHomevRosario CentralAwayBanfieldHomevRosario CentralAway
Final score Banfield 1, Rosario Central 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Banfield win 30%, Draw 29%, Rosario Central win 40%.
30%
Banfield win
29%
Draw
40%
Rosario Central win
What the data says
Banfield host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina.
Our model gives Banfield a 30% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Rosario Central 40%.
The model expects Banfield to score 1.1 goals and Rosario Central 1.3.
Banfield have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Rosario Central have won 3 of 6.
Top factors
Banfield sit 25th with 27 points; Rosario Central sit 4th with 52 points.
Banfield have taken 2 points from their last 5 matches; Rosario Central 8 from 5.
At home, Banfield have taken 1 point from their last 2; away, Rosario Central have taken 7 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Banfield win
30%
Draw
29%
Rosario Central win
40%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams score
51%
Expected goals (our model)
Banfield 1.1, Rosario Central 1.3
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, before kick-off.
Banfield sit 25th with 27 points; Rosario Central sit 4th with 52. A gap of 16 in goal difference, in favour of Rosario Central; Banfield have played 3 fewer.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
3rdIndependiente Rivadavia52 points from 28 games · goal difference +14
4thRosario Central52 points from 29 games · goal difference +9
5thRiver Plate49 points from 30 games · goal difference +13
24thAtlético Tucumán27 points from 27 games · goal difference -5
25thBanfield27 points from 26 games · goal difference -7
26thPlatense25 points from 26 games · goal difference -11
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
3
Independiente Rivadavia
28
15
7
6
45
31
+14
52
4
Rosario Central
29
15
7
7
36
27
+9
52
5
River Plate
30
15
4
11
42
29
+13
49
24
Atlético Tucumán
27
6
9
12
24
29
-5
27
25
Banfield
26
7
6
13
28
35
-7
27
26
Platense
26
5
10
11
19
30
Show full tableShow less
1stArgentinos Juniors57 points from 30 games · goal difference +13
2ndBelgrano55 points from 31 games · goal difference +13
3rdIndependiente Rivadavia52 points from 28 games · goal difference +14
4thRosario Central52 points from 29 games · goal difference +9
5thRiver Plate49 points from 30 games · goal difference +13
6thVélez Sarsfield48 points from 27 games · goal difference +11
7thBoca Juniors47 points from 27 games · goal difference +17
8thGimnasia La Plata47 points from 29 games · goal difference -1
9thInstituto46 points from 27 games · goal difference +9
10thHuracán44 points from 29 games · goal difference +7
11th
Banfield: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Gimnasia La Plata19 Sept 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away2–2
DDrewv Barracas Central14 Sept 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Home1–1
LLostat Aldosivi5 Sept 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away1–3
LLostv River Plate30 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Home2–3
LLostat Newell's Old Boys23 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away1–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Racing Club14 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away1–0
Rosario Central: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Argentinos Juniors20 Sept 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Home1–0
WWonat Tigre13 Sept 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away1–0
DDrewv Newell's Old Boys6 Sept 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Home1–1
LLostv Gimnasia La Plata29 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Home1–2
DDrewat Talleres Córdoba25 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away2–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
WWonat Barracas Central16 Aug 2026 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Away1–0
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Banfield at home and Rosario Central away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Banfield
Last 5 (5)0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 7 scored, 11 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (6)1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 8 scored, 11 conceded · 0.83 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Home, last 5 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Banfield
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
0
2
3
7
11
-4
2
0.40
0
0
Last 10 (6)
6
1
2
3
8
11
-3
5
0.83
1
0
Home, last 5 (2)
2
0
1
1
3
4
-1
1
0.50
0
0
Home, last 10 (2)
2
0
1
1
3
4
-1
1
0.50
0
0
Rosario Central
Last 5 (5)2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 6 scored, 5 conceded · 1.60 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (6)3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1.83 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Away, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Away, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Rosario Central
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
2
Banfield at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Rosario Central away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Banfield
Rosario Central
League position
25th
4th
Points per game
1.04
1.79
Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6)
1.33
1.17
Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6)
1.83
0.83
Clean sheets
1
3
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
-11
25
Estudiantes
41 points from 26 games · goal difference +11
12thLanús41 points from 28 games · goal difference +5
13thIndependiente41 points from 28 games · goal difference +1
14thDefensa y Justicia40 points from 27 games · goal difference +2
15thUnión Santa Fe37 points from 29 games · goal difference +1
16thBarracas Central36 points from 27 games · goal difference -1
17thGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza36 points from 26 games · goal difference -3
18thSarmiento35 points from 26 games · goal difference -6
19thTalleres Córdoba34 points from 28 games · goal difference -4
20thSan Lorenzo34 points from 28 games · goal difference -7
21stTigre32 points from 27 games · goal difference +1
22ndRacing Club32 points from 28 games · goal difference -3
23rdNewell's Old Boys32 points from 27 games · goal difference -9
24thAtlético Tucumán27 points from 27 games · goal difference -5
25thBanfield27 points from 26 games · goal difference -7
26thPlatense25 points from 26 games · goal difference -11
27thCentral Cordoba SdE24 points from 26 games · goal difference -16
28thDeportivo Riestra21 points from 26 games · goal difference -9
29thAldosivi16 points from 27 games · goal difference -18
30thEstudiantes de Río Cuarto11 points from 26 games · goal difference -27