· Paraguay - Division Intermedia
Benjamin Aceval v Independiente FBC
Final score Benjamin Aceval 2, Independiente FBC 3.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
Each of Benjamin Aceval's last 20 league matches had two or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Benjamin Aceval win 40%, Draw 26%, Independiente FBC win 35%.
Why this pick
Benjamin Aceval host Independiente FBC in the Division Intermedia, Paraguay.
Our model gives a 79% chance of 2 or more goals in the match.
The model expects Benjamin Aceval to score 1.5 goals and Independiente FBC 1.4.
6 of Benjamin Aceval's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 3 of Independiente FBC's last 6 did.
Top factors
- At home, Benjamin Aceval have scored 1.3 goals a game and conceded 1.7 in their last 3 home matches.
- Away, Independiente FBC have scored 2.7 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 3 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Tue 6 Oct, 07:42 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
- Benjamin Aceval win
- 40%
- Draw
- 26%
- Independiente FBC win
- 35%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Expected goals (our model)
- Benjamin Aceval 1.5, Independiente FBC 1.4
Key factors
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
- Benjamin Aceval have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Independiente FBC 10 from 5.
- At home, Benjamin Aceval have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Independiente FBC have taken 6 from their last 3.
Benjamin Aceval: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Independiente FBC: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Benjamin Aceval at home and Independiente FBC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Benjamin Aceval
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 5 scored, 9 conceded · 0.80 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 8 scored, 10 conceded · 1.17 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Benjamin Aceval | Independiente FBC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points per game | – | – |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
Data unavailable: no fixture analysis is stored for this match (it is built from API-Football data from 7 October 2026).
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.