Bermuda vs Barbados prediction, Tuesday 6 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· North & Central America - CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda v BarbadosHomevAwayHomevAway
Final score Bermuda 1, Barbados 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Bermuda win 30%, Draw 23%, Barbados win 48%.
Bermuda host Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League, North & Central America.
Our model gives Bermuda a 30% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Barbados 48%.
The model expects Bermuda to score 1.6 goals and Barbados 1.9.
Bermuda have won 0 of their last 3 league matches; Barbados have won 2 of 3.
Top factors
- Bermuda sit 32nd with 0 points; Barbados sit 7th with 7 points.
- Bermuda have taken 0 points from their last 3 matches; Barbados 7 from 3.
- At home, Bermuda have taken 0 points from their last 1; away, Barbados have taken 1 from their last 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Bermuda 1.6, Barbados 1.9 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the CONCACAF Nations League, before kick-off.
Bermuda sit 32nd with 0 points; Barbados sit 7th with 7. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Barbados.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
- 6th Aruba9 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 7th Barbados7 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 8th Cuba7 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 31st Sint Maarten0 points from 3 games · goal difference -4
- 32nd Bermuda0 points from 3 games · goal difference -7
- 33rd Bahamas0 points from 1 game · goal difference -8
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 6 | Aruba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 | Barbados | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 8 | Cuba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 31 | Sint Maarten | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 | Bermuda | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 |
| 33 | Bahamas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Guyana12 points from 4 games · goal difference +14
- 2nd Montserrat9 points from 3 games · goal difference +7
- 3rd Curacao9 points from 4 games · goal difference +6
- 4th Haiti9 points from 3 games · goal difference +6
- 5th St. Vincent and the Grenadines9 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 6th Aruba9 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 7th Barbados7 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 8th Cuba7 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
- 9th St. Kitts and Nevis7 points from 3 games · goal difference +4
- 10th Puerto Rico7 points from 4 games · goal difference +4
- 11th Suriname7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Barbados3 Oct 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League · Away1–4
LLostat St. Lucia29 Sept 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League · Away2–5
LLostv Guadeloupe25 Sept 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League · Home1–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Bermuda3 Oct 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League · Home4–1
DDrewat Guadeloupe28 Sept 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League · Away2–2
WWonv St. Lucia26 Sept 2026 · CONCACAF Nations League · Home2–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Bermuda at home and Barbados away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Bermuda
- Last 5 (3)0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 11 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 11 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 2 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 2 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Bermuda| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Barbados
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 8 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 8 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Barbados| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 |
|---|
Bermuda at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Barbados away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Bermuda | Barbados |
|---|
| League position | 32nd | 7th |
|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.33 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 3) | 3.67 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | +14 | 12 |
| 2 | Montserrat | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 3 | Curacao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aruba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 | Barbados | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 8 | Cuba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | Puerto Rico | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 11 | Suriname | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Antigua and Barbuda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 |
| 13 | St. Lucia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 14 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 15 | Jamaica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 | French Guiana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 17 | Dominican Republic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 4 |
| 19 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Saint Martin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 3 |
| 21 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | Honduras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Martinique | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 25 | Belize | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 26 | Grenada | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 27 | El Salvador | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 28 | Cayman Islands | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 29 | Dominica | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
| 30 | Bonaire | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 31 | Sint Maarten | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 | Bermuda | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 |
| 33 | Bahamas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 |
| 34 | Nicaragua | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 |
| 35 | Anguilla | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 |
| 36 | British Virgin Islands | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 |
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|