· World - Friendly International
China PR v Tajikistan
Final score China PR 0, Tajikistan 1.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
75%win chance when published
Our model · No price
Each of China PR's last 3 home matches had three or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: China PR win 45%, Draw 27%, Tajikistan win 28%.
Why this pick
China PR host Tajikistan in the Friendly International, World.
Our model gives a 75% chance of 2 or more goals in the match.
The model expects China PR to score 1.5 goals and Tajikistan 1.2.
5 of China PR's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 3 of Tajikistan's last 4 did.
Top factors
- At home, China PR have scored 0.8 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 4 home matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Tue 6 Oct, 07:42 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
- China PR win
- 45%
- Draw
- 27%