Claypole vs Deportivo Español prediction, Tuesday 6 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Argentina - Primera C
Claypole v Deportivo EspañolHomevAwayHomevAway
Final score Claypole 1, Deportivo Español 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Claypole win 20%, Draw 34%, Deportivo Español win 46%.
Claypole host Deportivo Español in the Primera C, Argentina.
Our model gives Claypole a 20% chance of winning, a draw 34% and Deportivo Español 46%.
The model expects Claypole to score 0.7 goals and Deportivo Español 1.1.
Claypole have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Deportivo Español have won 4 of 6.
Top factors
- Claypole sit 23rd with 32 points; Deportivo Español sit 4th with 48 points.
- Claypole have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Deportivo Español 13 from 5.
- At home, Claypole have taken 7 points from their last 4; away, Deportivo Español have taken 7 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Claypole 0.7, Deportivo Español 1.1 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera C, before kick-off.
Claypole sit 23rd with 32 points; Deportivo Español sit 4th with 48. A gap of 23 in goal difference, in favour of Deportivo Español.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
- 3rd Central Córdoba de Rosario49 points from 31 games · goal difference +10
- 4th Deportivo Español48 points from 30 games · goal difference +9
- 5th Sacachispas47 points from 31 games · goal difference +6
- 22nd JJ Urquiza32 points from 31 games · goal difference -7
- 23rd Claypole32 points from 30 games · goal difference -14
- 24th Fénix31 points from 30 games · goal difference -8
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 3 | Central Córdoba de Rosario | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32 | 22 | +10 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Español | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 47 |
| 22 | JJ Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 32 |
| 23 | Claypole | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 32 |
| 24 | Fénix | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 30 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Luján58 points from 30 games · goal difference +22
- 2nd Cañuelas57 points from 30 games · goal difference +17
- 3rd Central Córdoba de Rosario49 points from 31 games · goal difference +10
- 4th Deportivo Español48 points from 30 games · goal difference +9
- 5th Sacachispas47 points from 31 games · goal difference +6
- 6th Berazategui46 points from 31 games · goal difference +12
- 7th CA Lugano46 points from 31 games · goal difference +7
- 8th Juventud Unida G.45 points from 31 games · goal difference +7
- 9th Leones de Rosario45 points from 30 games · goal difference +3
- 10th Estrella del Sur45 points from 31 games · goal difference +2
- 11th
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Central Córdoba de Rosario26 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Away1–2
WWonv Yupanqui21 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Home2–1
WWonv Sacachispas15 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Home2–0
LLostv Central Ballester8 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Home0–1
LLostat El Porvenir29 Aug 2026 · Primera C · Away2–4
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Fénix24 Aug 2026 · Primera C · Home0–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Central Ballester26 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Home1–0
WWonat El Porvenir21 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Away2–0
DDrewat Mercedes10 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Away1–1
WWonv Fénix6 Sept 2026 · Primera C · Home1–0
WWonat Sportivo Barracas31 Aug 2026 · Primera C · Away1–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Luján24 Aug 2026 · Primera C · Home0–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Claypole at home and Deportivo Español away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Claypole
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 7 scored, 8 conceded · 1.20 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 7 scored, 8 conceded · 1.17 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (4)2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1.75 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 10 (4)2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1.75 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Claypole| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | 2 | 2 |
|---|
Deportivo Español
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 1 conceded · 2.60 points a game · 4 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (6)4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 5 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 1 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Deportivo Español| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 |
|---|
Claypole at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Deportivo Español away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Claypole | Deportivo Español |
|---|
| League position | 23rd | 4th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.07 | 1.60 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 0.17 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Centro Español
44 points from 30 games · goal difference +10
12th Victoriano Arenas44 points from 31 games · goal difference +513th Mercedes43 points from 30 games · goal difference +614th General Lamadrid40 points from 30 games · goal difference -315th Sportivo Barracas39 points from 30 games · goal difference +216th Central Ballester38 points from 30 games · goal difference 017th Puerto Nuevo38 points from 31 games · goal difference -718th Atlas37 points from 30 games · goal difference -319th Defensores de Cambaceres37 points from 31 games · goal difference -520th El Porvenir36 points from 30 games · goal difference -521st Yupanqui35 points from 31 games · goal difference -222nd JJ Urquiza32 points from 31 games · goal difference -723rd Claypole32 points from 30 games · goal difference -1424th Fénix31 points from 30 games · goal difference -825th Deportivo Paraguayo31 points from 30 games · goal difference -1626th Leandro Nicéforo Alem31 points from 30 games · goal difference -2227th Argentino Rosario27 points from 31 games · goal difference -1128th Deportivo Muñiz26 points from 30 games · goal difference -15| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Luján | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 22 | +22 | 58 |
| 2 | Cañuelas | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 38 | 21 | +17 | 57 |
| 3 | Central Córdoba de Rosario | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32 | 22 | +10 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Español | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 | Berazategui | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 24 | +12 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 28 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Juventud Unida G. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 31 | +7 | 45 |
| 9 | Leones de Rosario | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 45 |
| 10 | Estrella del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 29 | +2 | 45 |
| 11 | Centro Español | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 27 | +10 | 44 |
| 12 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 44 |
| 13 | Mercedes | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 43 |
| 14 | General Lamadrid | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Sportivo Barracas | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 39 |
| 16 | Central Ballester | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 38 |
| 17 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 18 | Atlas | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 37 |
| 19 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 37 |
| 20 | El Porvenir | 30 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 36 |
| 21 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 35 |
| 22 | JJ Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 32 |
| 23 | Claypole | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 32 |
| 24 | Fénix | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 31 |
| 25 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 31 |
| 26 | Leandro Nicéforo Alem | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 31 |
| 27 | Argentino Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Muñiz | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 26 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 14 | 2.33 | 5 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
|---|