Denmark U19 v Netherlands U19Denmark U19HomevNetherlands U19AwayDenmark U19HomevNetherlands U19Away
Final score Denmark U19 1, Netherlands U19 1.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
79%win chance when published
Our model · No price
The model expects Denmark U19 to score 1.6 goals and Netherlands U19 1.3.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Denmark U19 win 47%, Draw 25%, Netherlands U19 win 28%.
47%
Denmark U19 win
25%
Draw
28%
Netherlands U19 win
Why this pick
Denmark U19 host Netherlands U19 in the Friendly International U19, World.
Our model gives a 79% chance of 2 or more goals in the match.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Tue 6 Oct, 07:42 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Denmark U19 win
47%
Draw
25%
Netherlands U19 win
28%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams score
57%
Expected goals (our model)
Denmark U19 1.6, Netherlands U19 1.3
Key factors
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Denmark U19 sit 27th with 1 point; Netherlands U19 sit 31st with 1 point.
Denmark U19 have taken 1 point from their last 2 matches; Netherlands U19 1 from 3.
At home, Denmark U19 have taken 0 points from their last 1; away, Netherlands U19 have taken 0 from their last 1.
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Friendly International U19, before kick-off.
Denmark U19 sit 27th with 1 points; Netherlands U19 sit 31st with 1. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Denmark U19; Denmark U19 have played 1 fewer.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
26thBelgium U191 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
27thDenmark U191 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
28thQatar U191 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
30thKazakhstan U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -4
31stNetherlands U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -6
32ndSerbia U191 points from 3 games · goal difference -6
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
26
Belgium U19
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
27
Denmark U19
2
0
1
1
3
4
-1
1
28
Qatar U19
2
0
1
1
1
2
-1
1
30
Kazakhstan U19
3
0
1
2
2
6
-4
1
31
Netherlands U19
3
0
1
2
2
8
-6
1
32
Serbia U19
3
0
1
2
2
8
-6
Show full tableShow less
1stPoland U199 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
2ndSlovenia U199 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
3rdEngland U199 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
4thTürkiye U198 points from 6 games · goal difference -3
5thHungary U197 points from 3 games · goal difference +5
6thItaly U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
7thSpain U196 points from 2 games · goal difference +3
8thAlbania U196 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
9thRomania U196 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
10thAustria U196 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
11thIreland U195 points from 4 games · goal difference +4
Denmark U19: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Portugal U193 Oct 2026 · Friendly International U19 · Away3–3
LLostv Austria U1930 Sept 2026 · Friendly International U19 · Home0–1
Netherlands U19: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Austria U193 Oct 2026 · Friendly International U19 · Home0–1
LLostat Portugal U1930 Sept 2026 · Friendly International U19 · Away1–6