Hanseat vs Pinneberg prediction, Tuesday 6 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Germany - Reg. Cup Hamburg
Hanseat v PinnebergHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Hanseat win 34%, Draw 25%, Pinneberg win 42%.
Hanseat host Pinneberg in the Reg. Cup Hamburg, Germany.
Our model gives Hanseat a 34% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Pinneberg 42%.
The model expects Hanseat to score 1.5 goals and Pinneberg 1.7.
Top factors
- Hanseat sit 9th with 3 points; Pinneberg sit 16th with 1 point.
- Hanseat have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches; Pinneberg 1 from 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Hanseat 1.5, Pinneberg 1.7 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Reg. Cup Hamburg, before kick-off.
Hanseat sit 9th with 3 points; Pinneberg sit 16th with 1. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Hanseat.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
- 8th Paloma3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 9th Hanseat3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 10th Börnsen3 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
- 15th HT161 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
- 16th Pinneberg1 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
- 17th Rantzau1 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 8 | Paloma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Hanseat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Börnsen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | HT16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Pinneberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Rantzau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Halstenbek-Rellingen3 points from 1 game · goal difference +6
- 2nd TSV Sasel3 points from 1 game · goal difference +5
- 3rd Curslack-Neuengamme3 points from 1 game · goal difference +4
- 4th TBS Pinneberg3 points from 1 game · goal difference +4
- 5th Harksheide3 points from 1 game · goal difference +3
- 6th ETSV Hamburg3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 7th Nienstedten3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 8th Paloma3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 9th Hanseat3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 10th Börnsen3 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
- 11th Türkiye3 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Meiendorfer SV1 Sept 2026 · Reg. Cup Hamburg · Home2–0
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Rantzau3 Sept 2026 · Reg. Cup Hamburg · Home1–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Hanseat at home and Pinneberg away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Hanseat
- Last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
Hanseat| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Pinneberg
- Last 5 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5: none
- Away, last 10: none
Pinneberg| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Hanseat at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Pinneberg away: Data unavailable.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Hanseat | Pinneberg |
|---|
| League position | 9th | 16th |
|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 1 and 1) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 1 and 1) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 2 | TSV Sasel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Curslack-Neuengamme | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | TBS Pinneberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Harksheide | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | ETSV Hamburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Nienstedten | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Paloma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Hanseat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Börnsen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Türkiye | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Harburger SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Harburger TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Barsbüttel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | HT16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Pinneberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Rantzau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Reinbek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Hammonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Lohbrugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Blankenese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Eimsbutteler TV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Meiendorfer SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Poppenbüttel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 25 | Billstedt-Horn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 26 | Kummerfeld | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 27 | Groß Borstel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 28 | Appen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|
| Away, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|