Harburger SC vs TSV Sasel prediction, Tuesday 6 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Germany - Reg. Cup Hamburg
Harburger SC v TSV SaselHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Harburger SC win 23%, Draw 20%, TSV Sasel win 57%.
Harburger SC host TSV Sasel in the Reg. Cup Hamburg, Germany.
Our model gives Harburger SC a 23% chance of winning, a draw 20% and TSV Sasel 57%.
The model expects Harburger SC to score 1.6 goals and TSV Sasel 2.3.
Top factors
- Harburger SC sit 12th with 1 point; TSV Sasel sit 2nd with 3 points.
- Harburger SC have taken 1 point from their last 1 matches; TSV Sasel 3 from 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Expected goals (our model)Harburger SC 1.6, TSV Sasel 2.3 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Reg. Cup Hamburg, before kick-off.
Harburger SC sit 12th with 1 points; TSV Sasel sit 2nd with 3. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of TSV Sasel.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
- 1st Halstenbek-Rellingen3 points from 1 game · goal difference +6
- 2nd TSV Sasel3 points from 1 game · goal difference +5
- 3rd Curslack-Neuengamme3 points from 1 game · goal difference +4
- 11th Türkiye3 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
- 12th Harburger SC1 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
- 13th Harburger TB1 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 2 | TSV Sasel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Curslack-Neuengamme | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 11 | Türkiye | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Harburger SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Harburger TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
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- 1st Halstenbek-Rellingen3 points from 1 game · goal difference +6
- 2nd TSV Sasel3 points from 1 game · goal difference +5
- 3rd Curslack-Neuengamme3 points from 1 game · goal difference +4
- 4th TBS Pinneberg3 points from 1 game · goal difference +4
- 5th Harksheide3 points from 1 game · goal difference +3
- 6th ETSV Hamburg3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 7th Nienstedten3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 8th Paloma3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 9th Hanseat3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
- 10th Börnsen3 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
- 11th Türkiye3 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Harburger TB1 Sept 2026 · Reg. Cup Hamburg · Away3–3
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonat Groß Borstel1 Sept 2026 · Reg. Cup Hamburg · Away5–0
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Harburger SC at home and TSV Sasel away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Harburger SC
- Last 5 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5: none
- Home, last 10: none
Harburger SC| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|
| Home, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|
TSV Sasel
- Last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 5 scored, 0 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 0
TSV Sasel| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 |
|---|
Harburger SC at home: Data unavailable.
TSV Sasel away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Harburger SC | TSV Sasel |
|---|
| League position | 12th | 2nd |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 1 and 1) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 1 and 1) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 2 | TSV Sasel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Curslack-Neuengamme | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | TBS Pinneberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Harksheide | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | ETSV Hamburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Nienstedten | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Paloma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Hanseat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Börnsen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Türkiye | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Harburger SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Harburger TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Barsbüttel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | HT16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Pinneberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Rantzau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Reinbek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Hammonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Lohbrugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Blankenese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Eimsbutteler TV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Meiendorfer SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Poppenbüttel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 25 | Billstedt-Horn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 26 | Kummerfeld | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 27 | Groß Borstel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 28 | Appen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|