· Europe - UEFA Nations League
Italy v Türkiye
Final score Italy 3, Türkiye 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Italy win 47%, Draw 27%, Türkiye win 26%.
What the data says
Italy host Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League, Europe.
Our model gives Italy a 47% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Türkiye 26%.
The model expects Italy to score 1.5 goals and Türkiye 1.1.
Italy have won 1 of their last 3 league matches; Türkiye have won 0 of 3.
Top factors
- Italy have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches; Türkiye 0 from 3.
- At home, Italy have taken 0 points from their last 1; away, Türkiye have taken 0 from their last 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
- Italy win
- 47%
- Draw
- 27%
- Türkiye win