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Yesterday: 4 of 5 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Saturday 17 October · 35 picks

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (2)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.19

EvertonChelsea

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Chelsea's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.07

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

MiddlesbroughCardiff

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Cardiff's last 3 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting later (18)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

85%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.07

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Hamburger SV's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

SV ElversbergFC Augsburg

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of FC Augsburg's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

4 of Union Berlin's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.17

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of FSV Mainz 05's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Werder Bremen's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

84%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Manchester CityIpswich

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

5 of Ipswich's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

SouthamptonBolton

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Bolton's last 4 away matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.26

WrexhamPreston

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Wrexham's last 5 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

SwanseaWest Ham

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of West Ham's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.25

BirminghamQPR

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Birmingham's last 5 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

Bristol CitySheffield Utd

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Sheffield Utd's last 4 away matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

StrasbourgParis Saint Germain

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Strasbourg's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.19

BolognaInter

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Inter's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.17

NewcastleAston Villa

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Bayern München win

78%win chance

Average of 6 bookmakers · Our model 78% · Price 1.22

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.06

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

TelstarFeyenoord

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Feyenoord's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

Estac TroyesLens

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Estac Troyes's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Sparta RotterdamWillem II

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Sparta Rotterdam's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Trial leagues (10)

10 of 31 trial picks shown

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , J1 League, Japan

Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Kashiwa Reysol win 49%, Draw 23%, Nagoya Grampus win 28%.

What the data says

Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League, Japan.

Our model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 49% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Nagoya Grampus 28%.

The model expects Kashiwa Reysol to score 1.9 goals and Nagoya Grampus 1.3.

Kashiwa Reysol have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Nagoya Grampus have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Kashiwa Reysol sit 1st with 21 points; Nagoya Grampus sit 15th with 9 points.
  • Kashiwa Reysol have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; Nagoya Grampus 3 from 5.
  • At home, Kashiwa Reysol have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, Nagoya Grampus have taken 3 from their last 4.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.