Middlesbrough U17 v Leeds United U17Middlesbrough U17HomevLeeds United U17AwayMiddlesbrough U17HomevLeeds United U17Away
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Middlesbrough U17 win 38%, Draw 21%, Leeds United U17 win 41%.
38%
Middlesbrough U17 win
21%
Draw
41%
Leeds United U17 win
What the data says
Middlesbrough U17 host Leeds United U17 in the U17 Premier League Cup, England.
Our model gives Middlesbrough U17 a 38% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Leeds United U17 41%.
The model expects Middlesbrough U17 to score 2.0 goals and Leeds United U17 2.0.
Top factors
Middlesbrough U17 sit 22nd with 1 point; Leeds United U17 sit 11th with 3 points.
Middlesbrough U17 have taken 1 point from their last 1 matches; Leeds United U17 3 from 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Middlesbrough U17 win
38%
Draw
21%
Leeds United U17 win
41%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Both teams score
66%
Expected goals (our model)
Middlesbrough U17 2.0, Leeds United U17 2.0
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the U17 Premier League Cup, before kick-off.
Middlesbrough U17 sit 22nd with 1 points; Leeds United U17 sit 11th with 3. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Leeds United U17.
The league's last stored table, updated before kick-off (matched by team name).
10thSouthampton U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
11thLeeds United U173 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
12thNottingham Forest U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
21stCardiff City U173 points from 2 games · goal difference -4
22ndMiddlesbrough U171 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
23rdBurnley U171 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
10
Southampton U17
2
1
0
1
5
3
+2
3
11
Leeds United U17
1
1
0
0
4
2
+2
3
12
Nottingham Forest U17
2
1
0
1
8
7
+1
3
21
Cardiff City U17
2
1
0
1
2
6
-4
3
22
Middlesbrough U17
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
23
Burnley U17
2
0
1
1
5
6
Show full tableShow less
1stChelsea U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +10
2ndTottenham Hotspur U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +7
3rdBlackburn Rovers U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +5
4thManchester United U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +3
5thCrystal Palace U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +3
6thFulham U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
7thIpswich Town U176 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
8thBirmingham City U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +4
9thManchester City U173 points from 1 game · goal difference +4
10thSouthampton U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +2
Middlesbrough U17: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Sunderland U171 Sept 2026 · U17 Premier League Cup · Home2–2
Leeds United U17: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Newcastle United U171 Sept 2026 · U17 Premier League Cup · Home4–2
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Middlesbrough U17 at home and Leeds United U17 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Middlesbrough U17
Last 5 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Home, last 5 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Home, last 10 (1)0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Middlesbrough U17
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (1)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
1.00
0
0
Last 10 (1)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
1.00
0
0
Home, last 5 (1)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
1.00
0
0
Home, last 10 (1)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
1
1.00
0
0
Leeds United U17
Last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Away, last 5: none
Away, last 10: none
Leeds United U17
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (1)
1
1
0
0
4
2
+2
3
Middlesbrough U17 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Leeds United U17 away: Data unavailable.
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Middlesbrough U17
Leeds United U17
League position
22nd
11th
Points per game
1.00
3.00
Attack: goals per game (last 1 and 1)
2.00
4.00
Defence: conceded per game (last 1 and 1)
2.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
-1
1
11th
Leeds United U17
3 points from 1 game · goal difference +2
12thNottingham Forest U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
13thDerby County U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
14thNewcastle United U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
15thArsenal U173 points from 2 games · goal difference +1
16thEverton U173 points from 1 game · goal difference +1
17thBrighton U173 points from 2 games · goal difference 0
18thWolves U173 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
19thAston Villa U173 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
20thBournemouth U173 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
21stCardiff City U173 points from 2 games · goal difference -4
22ndMiddlesbrough U171 points from 1 game · goal difference 0
23rdBurnley U171 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
24thLiverpool U171 points from 2 games · goal difference -3
25thSunderland U171 points from 2 games · goal difference -3
26thBrentford U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
27thNorwich City U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
28thLeicester City U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -3
29thWest Bromwich U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -4
30thStoke City U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -6
31stReading U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -7
32ndWest Ham United U170 points from 2 games · goal difference -10