· World - Friendly International
Russia v Nigeria
Final score Russia 3, Nigeria 3.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance when published
Our model · No price
Each of Nigeria's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Russia win 66%, Draw 21%, Nigeria win 13%.
Why this pick
Russia host Nigeria in the Friendly International, World.
Our model gives a 78% chance of 2 or more goals in the match.
The model expects Russia to score 2.0 goals and Nigeria 0.9.
4 of Russia's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 6 of Nigeria's last 6 did.
Top factors
- At home, Russia have scored 2.8 goals a game and conceded 0.0 in their last 5 home matches.
- Away, Nigeria have scored 2.0 goals a game and conceded 1.4 in their last 5 away matches.
Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Tue 6 Oct, 07:42 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
- Russia win
- 66%
- Draw
- 21%