· England - EFL Trophy
Stevenage v Leicester City
Final score Stevenage 2, Leicester City 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Stevenage win 49%, Draw 21%, Leicester City win 30%.
What the data says
Stevenage host Leicester City in the EFL Trophy, England.
Our model gives Stevenage a 49% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Leicester City 30%.
The model expects Stevenage to score 2.2 goals and Leicester City 1.8.
Top factors
- Stevenage have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches; Leicester City 3 from 1.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Key numbers
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
- Stevenage win
- 49%
- Draw
- 21%
- Leicester City win
- 30%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Expected goals (our model)
- Stevenage 2.2, Leicester City 1.8
Stevenage: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Leicester City: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Stevenage at home and Leicester City away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Stevenage
- Last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5: none
- Home, last 10: none
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Home, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Leicester City
- Last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 5: none
- Away, last 10: none
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Away, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Away, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Stevenage at home: Data unavailable.
Leicester City away: Data unavailable.
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Stevenage | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points per game | – | – |
| Attack: goals per game (last 1 and 1) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 1 and 1) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
Data unavailable: no fixture analysis is stored for this match (it is built from API-Football data from 7 October 2026).
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.