Yesterday: 13 of 15 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Wednesday 14 October · 11 picks

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

FeyenoordComo

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Feyenoord to score 1.9 goals and Como 1.3.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

Lask LinzLiverpool

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Lask Linz to score 1.6 goals and Liverpool 1.2.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

NorwichSouthampton

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Norwich's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price 1.23

QPRDerby

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Derby's last 4 away matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

85%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

Bodo/GlimtBorussia Dortmund

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Bodo/Glimt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

Manchester CityParis Saint Germain

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Manchester City to score 1.7 goals and Paris Saint Germain 1.5.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

AS RomaReal Madrid

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects AS Roma to score 1.7 goals and Real Madrid 1.4.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

Real BetisFC Porto

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Real Betis to score 1.9 goals and FC Porto 1.1.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Slovan BratislavaVfB Stuttgart

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Slovan Bratislava's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

LincolnWest Ham

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of West Ham's last 9 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

Aston VillaFenerbahçe

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Fenerbahçe's last 3 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League, Mongolia

Ulaanbaatar v Khovd Western

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Ulaanbaatar win 77%, Draw 11%, Khovd Western win 12%.

What the data says

Ulaanbaatar host Khovd Western in the Premier League, Mongolia.

Our model gives Ulaanbaatar a 77% chance of winning, a draw 11% and Khovd Western 12%.

The model expects Ulaanbaatar to score 3.8 goals and Khovd Western 1.5.

Ulaanbaatar have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Khovd Western have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Ulaanbaatar sit 2nd with 16 points; Khovd Western sit 7th with 3 points.
  • Ulaanbaatar have taken 15 points from their last 5 matches; Khovd Western 3 from 5.
  • At home, Ulaanbaatar have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Khovd Western have taken 0 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.