Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Division 1, Saudi Arabia

Al Najma v Damac

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Al Najma win 40%, Draw 28%, Damac win 32%.

What the data says

Al Najma host Damac in the Division 1, Saudi Arabia.

Our model gives Al Najma a 40% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Damac 32%.

The model expects Al Najma to score 1.3 goals and Damac 1.1.

Al Najma have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Damac have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Al Najma sit 11th with 7 points; Damac sit 5th with 9 points.
  • Al Najma have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Damac 8 from 5.
  • At home, Al Najma have taken 5 points from their last 3; away, Damac have taken 5 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.