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Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Serie A, Italy

Atalanta v Venezia

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Atalanta win 64%, Draw 21%, Venezia win 15%.

Why this pick

Atalanta host Venezia in the Serie A, Italy.

Our model gives a 77% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 81%.

The model expects Atalanta to score 2.0 goals and Venezia 0.8.

4 of Atalanta's last 5 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of Venezia's last 5 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Atalanta have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 0.6 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Venezia have scored 1.6 goals a game and conceded 2.6 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sun 11 Oct, 20:13 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sun 11 Oct, 20:13 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.