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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Division 1, United Arab Emirates

Al Urooba v Dibba Al Hisn

Final score Al Urooba 1, Dibba Al Hisn 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Al Urooba win 42%, Draw 27%, Dibba Al Hisn win 31%.

What the data says

Al Urooba host Dibba Al Hisn in the Division 1, United Arab Emirates.

Our model gives Al Urooba a 42% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Dibba Al Hisn 31%.

The model expects Al Urooba to score 1.4 goals and Dibba Al Hisn 1.2.

Al Urooba have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Dibba Al Hisn have won 2 of 5.

Top factors

  • Al Urooba sit 5th with 9 points; Dibba Al Hisn sit 10th with 7 points.
  • Al Urooba have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches; Dibba Al Hisn 7 from 5.
  • At home, Al Urooba have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Dibba Al Hisn have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.