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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 1. SNL, Slovenia

Aluminij v Olimpija Ljubljana

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Aluminij win 29%, Draw 28%, Olimpija Ljubljana win 42%.

What the data says

Aluminij host Olimpija Ljubljana in the 1. SNL, Slovenia.

Our model gives Aluminij a 29% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Olimpija Ljubljana 42%.

The model expects Aluminij to score 1.0 goals and Olimpija Ljubljana 1.4.

Aluminij have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Olimpija Ljubljana have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Aluminij sit 7th with 13 points; Olimpija Ljubljana sit 5th with 15 points.
  • Aluminij have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Olimpija Ljubljana 8 from 5.
  • At home, Aluminij have taken 1 point from their last 3; away, Olimpija Ljubljana have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.