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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , MLS Next Pro, USA

Atlanta United II v Connecticut FC

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Atlanta United II win 60%, Draw 18%, Connecticut FC win 22%.

What the data says

Atlanta United II host Connecticut FC in the MLS Next Pro, USA.

Our model gives Atlanta United II a 60% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Connecticut FC 22%.

The model expects Atlanta United II to score 2.6 goals and Connecticut FC 1.5.

Atlanta United II have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Connecticut FC have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Atlanta United II sit 7th with 47 points; Connecticut FC sit 9th with 44 points.
  • Atlanta United II have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Connecticut FC 6 from 5.
  • At home, Atlanta United II have taken 9 points from their last 3; away, Connecticut FC have taken 6 from their last 4.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.