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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Second League, Egypt

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla v Masar

Final score Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2, Masar 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win 29%, Draw 29%, Masar win 42%.

What the data says

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla host Masar in the Second League, Egypt.

Our model gives Baladiyyat Al Mehalla a 29% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Masar 42%.

The model expects Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to score 1.0 goals and Masar 1.3.

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Masar have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 16th with 8 points; Masar sit 1st with 19 points.
  • Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Masar 10 from 5.
  • At home, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Masar have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.