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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League, Kyrgyzstan

Bars v Dordoi Bishkek

Final score Bars 2, Dordoi Bishkek 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Bars win 63%, Draw 18%, Dordoi Bishkek win 19%.

What the data says

Bars host Dordoi Bishkek in the Premier League, Kyrgyzstan.

Our model gives Bars a 63% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Dordoi Bishkek 19%.

The model expects Bars to score 2.4 goals and Dordoi Bishkek 1.2.

Bars have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Dordoi Bishkek have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Bars sit 1st with 52 points; Dordoi Bishkek sit 11th with 29 points.
  • Bars have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Dordoi Bishkek 4 from 5.
  • At home, Bars have taken 9 points from their last 4; away, Dordoi Bishkek have taken 0 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.