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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 1 Lyga, Lithuania

Be1 NFA v Neptūną Klaipėda

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Be1 NFA win 34%, Draw 27%, Neptūną Klaipėda win 39%.

What the data says

Be1 NFA host Neptūną Klaipėda in the 1 Lyga, Lithuania.

Our model gives Be1 NFA a 34% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Neptūną Klaipėda 39%.

The model expects Be1 NFA to score 1.3 goals and Neptūną Klaipėda 1.4.

Be1 NFA have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Neptūną Klaipėda have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Be1 NFA sit 3rd with 51 points; Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th with 44 points.
  • Be1 NFA have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Neptūną Klaipėda 6 from 5.
  • At home, Be1 NFA have taken 10 points from their last 4; away, Neptūną Klaipėda have taken 0 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.