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Picks for Thursday 22 October

Thursday 22 October

17 of 20 top picks won

Expected about 16 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 144 of 173 top picks won. Expected about 138.

Other picks: 7 of 8 won

Trial leagues (1 shown): 1 of 1 won

Expected about 1 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 27 of 32 trial picks won. Expected about 26.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price then 1.25

Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikos15

6' Taborda, 24' Dessers (pen), 47' Dessers, 57' Kangwa, 75' Rastoder, 79' Bekbolat

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia22

8' Godoy, 55' Adel, 67' Adel, 88' Godoy

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.19

FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Copenhagen22

29' Gashtarov (og), 34' Elsnik, 41' Kostov, 70' Carrizo

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.24

Lech PoznanSunderland11

2' Tutierov, 70' Bengtsson

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

TrabzonsporHeart Of Midlothian20

32' Salah (pen), 58' Franculino

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.21

PafosRiga11

67' Ferreira, 76' Biel

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.20

Kauno ŽalgirisBrann14

7' Castro (pen), 12' Oliveira, 25' Holm, 40' Holm, 85' Holm

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen24

25' Bischoff, 33' Beljo, 37' Beljo, 45' Linssen, 54' Linssen, 80' Chery

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FK JablonecBrighton00

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.22

MonacoSC Freiburg30

45+2' Brunner, 83' Camara, 90+1' Fati

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.16

AjaxAtalanta20

87' Arokodare, 90+3' Ouazane

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.17

FC ThunHNK Hajduk Split01

17' Almeida

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.24

CelticCelta Vigo12

47' Baur, 68' Galiano, 71' Galiano

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

FC MidtjyllandSt. Truiden01

42' Soelle

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

Lincoln Red Imps FCTwente14

19' Belt, 24' Weghorst, 38' Nano, 57' Belt, 90+3' Weidmann

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.15

BeşiktaşCrystal Palace22

45+2' Ndidi, 51' Pino, 55' Mateta, 73' Olaitan

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

1899 HoffenheimLyon30

45+4' Kramarić, 49' Daghim, 83' Hložek

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.18

CeljeRed Bull Salzburg22

9' Kitano, 46' Lindstrom, 50' Kramer, 90' Kučys

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.17

Omonia NicosiaBenfica14

14' Nego (og), 42' Kakoullis, 49' Pavlidis, 76' Aursnes, 85' Prestianni

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.21

BournemouthAC Milan30

8' Kluivert (pen), 32' Tavernier (pen), 84' Adli

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Other picks (8)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.27

Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova13

3' Hamlawi, 5' Baiaram, 77' Arellano, 86' Elisor

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.26

FC Iberia 1999Mjallby AIF11

55' Jinjolava (pen), 89' Pettersson

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

Ararat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar04

21' Andreasen, 27' Batista, 76' Batista, 79' Meerdink

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.20

JuventusRennes22

5' Çelik, 15' Al-Tamari, 43' Dia (pen), 67' Woltemade (pen)

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.17

Ferencvarosi TCTorreense41

20' Yusuf, 23' Pozo, 58' Gómez, 80' Diadie (og), 89' Lisztes

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.22

Olympiakos PiraeusSparta Praha10

78' González

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 72% · Price then 1.29

Borac Banja LukaKuPS20

29' Savic, 50' Deket

· UEFA Europa Conference League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.22

JagielloniaAnderlecht03

21' Cvetkovic, 72' Winkler, 80' Onia-Seke

· UEFA Europa League

See the match

Trial leagues (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.19

Bihor OradeaCSM Reşiţa20

16' Modan, 23' Bota

· Liga II, Romania

New league for us: our record here is still building (27 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga II, Romania

New league for us: our record here is still building (27 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

Bihor Oradea v CSM Reşiţa

Final score Bihor Oradea 2, CSM Reşiţa 0.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.19

Each of CSM Reşiţa's last 4 away matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Bihor Oradea win 52%, Draw 23%, CSM Reşiţa win 25%.

Why this pick

Bihor Oradea host CSM Reşiţa in the Liga II, Romania.

Our model gives an 80% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 77%.

The model expects Bihor Oradea to score 1.9 goals and CSM Reşiţa 1.2.

5 of Bihor Oradea's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of CSM Reşiţa's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Bihor Oradea have scored 2.0 goals a game and conceded 0.2 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, CSM Reşiţa have scored 2.0 goals a game and conceded 1.2 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Wed 21 Oct, 20:15 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Wed 21 Oct, 20:10 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.