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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico

Calor de San Pedro v Delfines Coatzacoalcos

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Calor de San Pedro win 66%, Draw 19%, Delfines Coatzacoalcos win 15%.

What the data says

Calor de San Pedro host Delfines Coatzacoalcos in the Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico.

Our model gives Calor de San Pedro a 66% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Delfines Coatzacoalcos 15%.

The model expects Calor de San Pedro to score 2.3 goals and Delfines Coatzacoalcos 0.9.

Calor de San Pedro have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Delfines Coatzacoalcos have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Calor de San Pedro sit 11th with 10 points; Delfines Coatzacoalcos sit 12th with 8 points.
  • Calor de San Pedro have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Delfines Coatzacoalcos 7 from 5.
  • At home, Calor de San Pedro have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Delfines Coatzacoalcos have taken 4 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.