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Today's picks

Today, Tuesday 13 October · 15 picks

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

Sabah FASlavia Praha

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Sabah FA's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.16

LensSporting CP

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Lens to score 1.7 goals and Sporting CP 1.3.

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Orlando Pirates win

78%win chance

Average of 8 bookmakers · Our model 70% · Price 1.16

Orlando PiratesTS Galaxy

Last 5 games

· Premier Soccer League, South Africa

Orlando Pirates are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.30

Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Last 5 games

· Premier Soccer League, South Africa

Each of Mamelodi Sundowns's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.17

WolvesBolton

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Bolton's last 3 away matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.26

MillwallSwansea

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Millwall's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 92% · Price 1.03

VikingBayern München

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Viking's last 3 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.12

Atletico MadridManchester United

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Atletico Madrid to score 2.2 goals and Manchester United 1.1.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 91% · Price 1.03

GalatasarayBarcelona

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Galatasaray to score 1.8 goals and Barcelona 1.5.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

InterClub Brugge KV

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Inter to score 2.0 goals and Club Brugge KV 1.3.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.06

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects RB Leipzig to score 1.8 goals and PSV Eindhoven 1.3.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

VillarrealNapoli

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Villarreal to score 1.8 goals and Napoli 1.1.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

ArsenalLille

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Arsenal to score 2.0 goals and Lille 0.9.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Stoke City's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

BirminghamPreston

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Birmingham's last 4 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Championship, England

Cardiff v Watford

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Cardiff win 42%, Draw 28%, Watford win 30%.

What the data says

Cardiff host Watford in the Championship, England.

Our model gives Cardiff a 42% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Watford 30%.

The model expects Cardiff to score 1.3 goals and Watford 1.1.

Cardiff have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Watford have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Cardiff sit 21st with 7 points; Watford sit 20th with 8 points.
  • Cardiff have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Watford 3 from 5.
  • At home, Cardiff have taken 4 points from their last 2; away, Watford have taken 0 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.