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Today's picks

Today, Tuesday 13 October · 15 picks

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

Sabah FASlavia Praha

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Sabah FA's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.16

LensSporting CP

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Lens to score 1.7 goals and Sporting CP 1.3.

See the full analysis

Orlando Pirates win

78%win chance

Average of 8 bookmakers · Our model 70% · Price 1.16

Orlando PiratesTS Galaxy

Last 5 games

· Premier Soccer League, South Africa

Orlando Pirates are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.30

Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Last 5 games

· Premier Soccer League, South Africa

Each of Mamelodi Sundowns's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.17

WolvesBolton

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Bolton's last 3 away matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.26

MillwallSwansea

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Millwall's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 92% · Price 1.03

VikingBayern München

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Viking's last 3 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.12

Atletico MadridManchester United

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Atletico Madrid to score 2.2 goals and Manchester United 1.1.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 91% · Price 1.03

GalatasarayBarcelona

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Galatasaray to score 1.8 goals and Barcelona 1.5.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.10

InterClub Brugge KV

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Inter to score 2.0 goals and Club Brugge KV 1.3.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.06

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects RB Leipzig to score 1.8 goals and PSV Eindhoven 1.3.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

VillarrealNapoli

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Villarreal to score 1.8 goals and Napoli 1.1.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

ArsenalLille

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Arsenal to score 2.0 goals and Lille 0.9.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Stoke City's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.21

BirminghamPreston

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Birmingham's last 4 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , UEFA Champions League

Galatasaray v Barcelona

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 91% · Price 1.03

The model expects Galatasaray to score 1.8 goals and Barcelona 1.5.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Galatasaray win 44%, Draw 23%, Barcelona win 33%.

Why this pick

Galatasaray host Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League.

Our model gives an 81% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 91%.

Top factors

  • At home, Galatasaray have scored 2.0 goals a game and conceded 1.4 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Barcelona have scored 4.4 goals a game and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Mon 12 Oct, 20:15 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Mon 12 Oct, 20:14 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.