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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga Nacional, Honduras

CD Marathon v Olancho

Final score CD Marathon 2, Olancho 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: CD Marathon win 53%, Draw 29%, Olancho win 18%.

What the data says

CD Marathon host Olancho in the Liga Nacional, Honduras.

Our model gives CD Marathon a 53% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Olancho 18%.

The model expects CD Marathon to score 1.3 goals and Olancho 0.6.

CD Marathon have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Olancho have won 0 of 6.

Top factors

  • CD Marathon sit 3rd with 18 points; Olancho sit 5th with 12 points.
  • CD Marathon have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Olancho 4 from 5.
  • At home, CD Marathon have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Olancho have taken 2 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.