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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga Nacional, Honduras

CD Olimpia v Real Espana

Final score CD Olimpia 2, Real Espana 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: CD Olimpia win 52%, Draw 26%, Real Espana win 22%.

What the data says

CD Olimpia host Real Espana in the Liga Nacional, Honduras.

Our model gives CD Olimpia a 52% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Real Espana 22%.

The model expects CD Olimpia to score 1.5 goals and Real Espana 0.9.

CD Olimpia have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Real Espana have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • CD Olimpia sit 2nd with 20 points; Real Espana sit 1st with 21 points.
  • CD Olimpia have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Real Espana 13 from 5.
  • At home, CD Olimpia have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Real Espana have taken 5 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.