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Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Serie A, Brazil

Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Chapecoense-sc win 30%, Draw 24%, Atletico Paranaense win 47%.

What the data says

Chapecoense-sc host Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A, Brazil.

Our model gives Chapecoense-sc a 30% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Atletico Paranaense 47%.

The model expects Chapecoense-sc to score 1.3 goals and Atletico Paranaense 1.8.

Chapecoense-sc have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Atletico Paranaense have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Chapecoense-sc sit 20th with 18 points; Atletico Paranaense sit 4th with 50 points.
  • Chapecoense-sc have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Atletico Paranaense 6 from 5.
  • At home, Chapecoense-sc have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, Atletico Paranaense have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.