Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League, Bangladesh

City Club v Bashundhara Kings

Final score City Club 0, Bashundhara Kings 3.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: City Club win 28%, Draw 21%, Bashundhara Kings win 51%.

What the data says

City Club host Bashundhara Kings in the Premier League, Bangladesh.

Our model gives City Club a 28% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Bashundhara Kings 51%.

The model expects City Club to score 1.4 goals and Bashundhara Kings 2.2.

Top factors

  • City Club sit 3rd with 7 points; Bashundhara Kings sit 5th with 4 points.
  • City Club have taken 7 points from their last 3 matches; Bashundhara Kings 4 from 2.
  • At home, City Club have taken 3 points from their last 1; away, Bashundhara Kings have taken 1 from their last 1.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.