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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Paulista - U20, Brazil

Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Corinthians U20 win 66%, Draw 20%, Portuguesa Santista U20 win 14%.

What the data says

Corinthians U20 host Portuguesa Santista U20 in the Paulista - U20, Brazil.

Our model gives Corinthians U20 a 66% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Portuguesa Santista U20 14%.

The model expects Corinthians U20 to score 2.1 goals and Portuguesa Santista U20 0.7.

Corinthians U20 have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Portuguesa Santista U20 have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Corinthians U20 have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches; Portuguesa Santista U20 7 from 5.
  • At home, Corinthians U20 have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Portuguesa Santista U20 have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.