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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Ligue 1, Algeria

CR Belouizdad v Olympique Akbou

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: CR Belouizdad win 58%, Draw 25%, Olympique Akbou win 18%.

What the data says

CR Belouizdad host Olympique Akbou in the Ligue 1, Algeria.

Our model gives CR Belouizdad a 58% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Olympique Akbou 18%.

The model expects CR Belouizdad to score 1.7 goals and Olympique Akbou 0.7.

CR Belouizdad have won 4 of their last 5 league matches; Olympique Akbou have won 1 of 4.

Top factors

  • CR Belouizdad sit 1st with 13 points; Olympique Akbou sit 12th with 4 points.
  • CR Belouizdad have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Olympique Akbou 4 from 4.
  • At home, CR Belouizdad have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Olympique Akbou have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.