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Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Primera División, Peru

Cusco v Alianza Lima

Final score Cusco 1, Alianza Lima 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Cusco win 41%, Draw 30%, Alianza Lima win 29%.

What the data says

Cusco host Alianza Lima in the Primera División, Peru.

Our model gives Cusco a 41% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Alianza Lima 29%.

The model expects Cusco to score 1.2 goals and Alianza Lima 0.9.

Cusco have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Alianza Lima have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Cusco sit 5th with 45 points; Alianza Lima sit 1st with 56 points.
  • Cusco have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; Alianza Lima 5 from 5.
  • At home, Cusco have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Alianza Lima have taken 2 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.