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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Primera División, Costa Rica

Deportivo Saprissa v Sporting San Jose

Final score Deportivo Saprissa 6, Sporting San Jose 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Deportivo Saprissa win 51%, Draw 25%, Sporting San Jose win 24%.

What the data says

Deportivo Saprissa host Sporting San Jose in the Primera División, Costa Rica.

Our model gives Deportivo Saprissa a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Sporting San Jose 24%.

The model expects Deportivo Saprissa to score 1.7 goals and Sporting San Jose 1.0.

Deportivo Saprissa have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Sporting San Jose have won 5 of 6.

Top factors

  • Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st with 21 points; Sporting San Jose sit 3rd with 20 points.
  • Deportivo Saprissa have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; Sporting San Jose 12 from 5.
  • At home, Deportivo Saprissa have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Sporting San Jose have taken 6 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.