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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Superliga, Albania

Dinamo Tirana v Teuta Durrës

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Dinamo Tirana win 40%, Draw 29%, Teuta Durrës win 30%.

What the data says

Dinamo Tirana host Teuta Durrës in the Superliga, Albania.

Our model gives Dinamo Tirana a 40% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Teuta Durrës 30%.

The model expects Dinamo Tirana to score 1.2 goals and Teuta Durrës 1.0.

Dinamo Tirana have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Teuta Durrës have won 5 of 6.

Top factors

  • Dinamo Tirana sit 3rd with 12 points; Teuta Durrës sit 1st with 16 points.
  • Dinamo Tirana have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Teuta Durrës 15 from 5.
  • At home, Dinamo Tirana have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Teuta Durrës have taken 7 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.