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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier Division, Ireland

Drogheda United v Derry City

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Drogheda United win 34%, Draw 27%, Derry City win 39%.

What the data says

Drogheda United host Derry City in the Premier Division, Ireland.

Our model gives Drogheda United a 34% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Derry City 39%.

The model expects Drogheda United to score 1.2 goals and Derry City 1.4.

Drogheda United have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Derry City have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Drogheda United sit 9th with 34 points; Derry City sit 5th with 41 points.
  • Drogheda United have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Derry City 8 from 5.
  • At home, Drogheda United have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Derry City have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.