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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League 2 Division One, England

Everton U21 v Middlesbrough U21

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Everton U21 win 46%, Draw 23%, Middlesbrough U21 win 31%.

What the data says

Everton U21 host Middlesbrough U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, England.

Our model gives Everton U21 a 46% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Middlesbrough U21 31%.

The model expects Everton U21 to score 1.8 goals and Middlesbrough U21 1.5.

Everton U21 have won 1 of their last 4 league matches; Middlesbrough U21 have won 0 of 4.

Top factors

  • Everton U21 sit 14th with 5 points; Middlesbrough U21 sit 27th with 2 points.
  • Everton U21 have taken 5 points from their last 4 matches; Middlesbrough U21 2 from 4.
  • At home, Everton U21 have taken 1 point from their last 2; away, Middlesbrough U21 have taken 1 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.