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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League, Botswana

Extension Gunners v TAFIC

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Extension Gunners win 39%, Draw 34%, TAFIC win 28%.

What the data says

Extension Gunners host TAFIC in the Premier League, Botswana.

Our model gives Extension Gunners a 39% chance of winning, a draw 34% and TAFIC 28%.

The model expects Extension Gunners to score 1.0 goals and TAFIC 0.8.

Extension Gunners have won 2 of their last 4 league matches; TAFIC have won 2 of 4.

Top factors

  • Extension Gunners sit 6th with 7 points; TAFIC sit 4th with 7 points.
  • Extension Gunners have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches; TAFIC 7 from 4.
  • At home, Extension Gunners have taken 3 points from their last 1; away, TAFIC have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.