Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Primeira Liga, Portugal

Famalicao v Alverca

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Famalicao win 48%, Draw 27%, Alverca win 25%.

What the data says

Famalicao host Alverca in the Primeira Liga, Portugal.

Our model gives Famalicao a 48% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Alverca 25%.

The model expects Famalicao to score 1.5 goals and Alverca 1.0.

Famalicao have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Alverca have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Famalicao sit 13th with 7 points; Alverca sit 10th with 8 points.
  • Famalicao have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Alverca 7 from 5.
  • At home, Famalicao have taken 2 points from their last 3; away, Alverca have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.