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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 1, Moldova

FC National Ialoveni v Victoria Bardar

Final score FC National Ialoveni 2, Victoria Bardar 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: FC National Ialoveni win 47%, Draw 23%, Victoria Bardar win 29%.

What the data says

FC National Ialoveni host Victoria Bardar in the Liga 1, Moldova.

Our model gives FC National Ialoveni a 47% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Victoria Bardar 29%.

The model expects FC National Ialoveni to score 1.8 goals and Victoria Bardar 1.4.

FC National Ialoveni have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Victoria Bardar have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • FC National Ialoveni sit 9th with 7 points; Victoria Bardar sit 10th with 7 points.
  • FC National Ialoveni have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Victoria Bardar 7 from 5.
  • At home, FC National Ialoveni have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Victoria Bardar have taken 1 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.