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Yesterday: 8 of 10 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Wednesday 4 November · 10 picks

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Starting later (10)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

84%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.07

Short price: returns 7p for every £1 if it wins

AEK Athens FCReal Madrid

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Real Madrid's last 3 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

FenerbahçeLiverpool

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Fenerbahçe's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

WrexhamMiddlesbrough

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Wrexham's last 6 home matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

CardiffWest Ham

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

5 of Cardiff's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

84%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

PSV EindhovenClub Brugge KV

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Club Brugge KV's last 3 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

Borussia DortmundReal Betis

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects Borussia Dortmund to score 2.1 goals and Real Betis 1.3.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.15

LensComo

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Lens's last 3 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

RB LeipzigManchester City

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Manchester City's last 3 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.22

FC PortoNapoli

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

The model expects FC Porto to score 2.0 goals and Napoli 1.2.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

Slavia PrahaArsenal

Last 5 games

· UEFA Champions League

Each of Slavia Praha's last 3 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , UEFA Champions League

FC Porto v Napoli

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.22

The model expects FC Porto to score 2.0 goals and Napoli 1.2.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: FC Porto win 55%, Draw 22%, Napoli win 23%.

Why this pick

FC Porto host Napoli in the UEFA Champions League.

Our model gives an 81% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 77%.

2 of FC Porto's last 3 league matches had two or more goals; 2 of Napoli's last 3 did.

Top factors

  • At home, FC Porto have scored 1.6 goals a game and conceded 0.8 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Napoli have scored 1.2 goals a game and conceded 1.6 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Tue 3 Nov, 20:10 GMT. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Tue 3 Nov, 20:07 GMT. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.