Picks for Friday 30 October

Friday 30 October

3 of 6 top picks won

Expected about 5 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 196 of 239 top picks won. Expected about 191.

Trial leagues (10 shown): 9 of 10 won

Expected about 8 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 76 of 89 trial picks won. Expected about 72.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.17

NiceRennes52

12' Wahi (pen), 15' Szymański, 34' Wahi (pen), 45+2' Clauss, 52' Amoura, 58' Dia (pen), 73' Wahi

· Ligue 1, France

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 0541

7' Keidel, 26' Onyeka, 45+1' Krattenmacher, 90' Campbell, 90+2' Hollerbach

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

VillarrealEspanyol01

60' Cabrera

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 73% · Price then 1.28

Sheffield UtdWrexham10

30' Brereton

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.21

LilleLens10

86' Giroud

· Ligue 1, France

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.18

Casa PiaSporting CP02

13' Barros, 90+4' Catamo

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

See the match

Trial leagues (10)

10 of 11 trial picks shown

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.16

VlašimÚstí nad Labem30

9' Hodek, 33' Kurka, 86' Teterja

· FNL, Czech Republic

New league for us: our record here is still building (18 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

KarvináSlavia Praha II22

6' Behensky, 49' Breite, 54' Behensky, 90' Cicovsky

· FNL, Czech Republic

New league for us: our record here is still building (18 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.17

Arminia BielefeldEintracht Braunschweig31

23' Grosser, 27' Grodowski, 55' Opoku, 68' Grodowski

· 2. Bundesliga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

Energie CottbusVfL Bochum12

21' Cigerci (pen), 70' Hofmann, 88' Rasmussen

· 2. Bundesliga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.15

Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Meppen00

· 3. Liga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (29 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

FC VolendamDe Graafschap12

4' Maftahi, 52' Warmerdam, 83' Hardeman

· Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

RodaJong AZ21

35' Paulissen, 61' Hurk, 79' Andersen

· Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

84%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

WaalwijkAlmere City FC12

25' Dahri (pen), 74' Druijf, 82' Familia-Castillo

· Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.16

Helmond SportFC Eindhoven32

20' Baartmans, 45+1' Besuijen, 64' Renfrum (og), 88' Golic, 90+4' Ekoli

· Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

AFC FyldeAFC Hornchurch31

17' Balanta, 39' Lewis, 45+2' Lewis, 72' Morris

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

FC Volendam v De Graafschap

Final score FC Volendam 1, De Graafschap 2.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

Each of FC Volendam's last 6 home matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: FC Volendam win 52%, Draw 21%, De Graafschap win 27%.

Why this pick

FC Volendam host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie, Netherlands.

Our model gives an 85% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 88%.

The model expects FC Volendam to score 2.2 goals and De Graafschap 1.5.

5 of FC Volendam's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, FC Volendam have scored 3.8 goals a game and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, De Graafschap have scored 1.0 goals a game and conceded 2.2 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Thu 29 Oct, 20:07 GMT. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Thu 29 Oct, 20:06 GMT. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.