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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Primera Division, El Salvador

Firpo v Inca Aruba

Final score Firpo 2, Inca Aruba 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Firpo win 71%, Draw 18%, Inca Aruba win 11%.

What the data says

Firpo host Inca Aruba in the Primera Division, El Salvador.

Our model gives Firpo a 71% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Inca Aruba 11%.

The model expects Firpo to score 2.2 goals and Inca Aruba 0.6.

Firpo have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Inca Aruba have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Firpo sit 2nd with 28 points; Inca Aruba sit 9th with 16 points.
  • Firpo have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches; Inca Aruba 8 from 5.
  • At home, Firpo have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Inca Aruba have taken 2 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.