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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 3. Liga, Germany

New league for us: no past results checked yet.

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Fortuna Köln win 34%, Draw 25%, Stuttgart II win 41%.

What the data says

Fortuna Köln host Stuttgart II in the 3. Liga, Germany.

Our model gives Fortuna Köln a 34% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Stuttgart II 41%.

The model expects Fortuna Köln to score 1.4 goals and Stuttgart II 1.6.

Fortuna Köln have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Stuttgart II have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Fortuna Köln sit 15th with 10 points; Stuttgart II sit 11th with 11 points.
  • Fortuna Köln have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Stuttgart II 5 from 5.
  • At home, Fortuna Köln have taken 2 points from their last 3; away, Stuttgart II have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.