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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

Fountain Gate v Pamba Jiji

Final score Fountain Gate 1, Pamba Jiji 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Fountain Gate win 41%, Draw 28%, Pamba Jiji win 31%.

What the data says

Fountain Gate host Pamba Jiji in the Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania.

Our model gives Fountain Gate a 41% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Pamba Jiji 31%.

The model expects Fountain Gate to score 1.3 goals and Pamba Jiji 1.1.

Fountain Gate have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Pamba Jiji have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Fountain Gate sit 16th with 4 points; Pamba Jiji sit 15th with 4 points.
  • Fountain Gate have taken 1 point from their last 5 matches; Pamba Jiji 3 from 5.
  • At home, Fountain Gate have taken 3 points from their last 4; away, Pamba Jiji have taken 0 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.